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 Estimates v2.

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Rederoin
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PostSubject: Estimates v2.   2014-02-24, 12:08

27 Jan ->  10 February -> 24 February


  • 3.4k -> 7.8k -> 8.5k Hoozuki no Reitetsu
  • 5.2k -> 5.7k -> 5.7k Sonico(includes a figma!)
  • 6.2k -> 5.2k -> 5.5k Chuu2 S2
  • 3.0k -> 5.1k -> 5.2k Witchcraft works
  • 3.5k -> 3.3k -> 2.8k Tesagure! Bukatsumono encore(currently at 5.0k)
    ---------------5k--------------------
  • 3.2k -> 4.0k -> 4.6k Mikakunin de Shinkoukei
  • 3.5k -> 4.2k -> 4.3k Noragami
  • 3.9k -> 3.8k -> 4.3k Saki S2
  • 2.7k -> 3.8k SyD*(Already went on sale)
  • 4.0k -> 3.0k -> 3.3k Nisekoi
  • 3.2k -> 2.2k -> 3.1k Sekai Seifuku: Bouryaku no Zvezda
  • 3.3k -> 2.4k -> 3.0k Nourin  
    ---------------3k---------------------
  • 2.6k -> 2.1k -> 2.6k Hamatora
  • 3.1k -> 2.2k -> 2.5k Sakura Trick
  • 1.2k -> 2.1k -> 2.5k Space dandy  
  • 3.1k -> 2.4k -> 2.5k Maken-ki S2
  • 2.2k -> 2.2k -> 2.1k Saikin, Imouto no Yousu ga Chotto Okashiinda ga
  • 2.5k -> 2.3k -> 1.9k Tonari no Seki-kun
  • 1.8k -> 1.8k -> 1.9k Inari, Konkon, Koi Iroha.
  • ???? -> 1.7k -> 1.8k Wake up, girls!
  • 1.4k -> 1.7k -> 1.7k D-frag
  • ???? -> 1.8k -> 1.3k Nobunaga the fool  
  • 1.1k -> 1.1k -> 1.2k Wizard Barristers: Benmashi Cecil
  • 0.3k -> 0.6k -> 1.2k Z/X Ignition
  • 0.9k -> 0.8k -> 1.0k Pupa
  • 0.9k -> 0.8k -> 1.0k Buddy Complex
  • 0.3k -> 1.0k -> 0.7k Nobugagun
  • 0.9k -> 0.7k -> 0.7k Mahou Sensou




A bit more info on this, I posted it somewhere else. So I might as well post it here.


Rederoin wrote:

Those are only the 1st week sales.  Hoozuki might, just barely, reach 10k with its first volume.  But v1 has an even ticket, so it'll drop.

Sonico however?  No chance in hell,  most people are only buying it for the figma, which has been sold out.  Even 4 series getting 5k+ sales on average seems a bit doubtful.  Mikakunin de Shinkoukei  and Noragami both have event tickets in v1, so they'll need a boost to have any hope of averaging 5k.  

Sonico won't reach 5k, so that leaves Hoozuki, WCW and Chuu2 S2  for the potential '5k' sellers.

Most of the time we talk about what series will reach 10k,  this is rather strange season.


Sure, some other series might reach a 5k average(Saki S2), but I don't think we should put our hopes into that.  But who knows, Tesagure! might do the same crazy stuff it did last season and suddenly get a huge boost(in %).  

Sonico will have a huge drop with its 2nd volume.  Its 2nd volume is currently estimated at 1.3k.  This is the biggest v2 drop(in %) I've ever witnessed.


This sure is one hell of a depressing season.


But it should be noted that Sakura Trick has a strong performance at gamers.  So it getting as 3k or 4k~ average is still possible.


Last edited by Rederoin on 2014-03-14, 03:11; edited 6 times in total
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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-02-28, 11:03

Tesagure! Encore made a jump into the top 100.   Its estimation also went back to 3.6k.
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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-01, 07:22

Update :

Its now estimated at 4.8k.


Last edited by Rederoin on 2014-03-04, 11:56; edited 1 time in total
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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-02, 06:47

http://nikonikoranking.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-9349.html

Tesagure! is completely dominating the winter 2014 anime on NicoNico, 8 out of 8 episodes are in the top 10.

The re-broadcast of episodes 1 through 7 also got a 99% loved/liked rating on NicoNico

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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-05, 04:13

Tesagure! encore seems to have stabilized at 5.0k.


Just a note, the next thread will also include the release dates of the first volumes.
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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-07, 12:35

***,306位/***,328位 ★ (***,103 pt) [*,**0予約] 2014/06/13 ロボットガールズZ VOL.1 [Blu-ray]


Robot Girl Z BD's/DVD's got posted yesterday, I wonder how it'll do.

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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-09, 03:32

***,*67位/***,*61位 ★ (**3,276 pt) [*,*96予約] 2014/03/19 未確認で進行形 vol.1 初回生産限定版【イベントチケット優先販売申込券付き】 [Blu-ray]

It seems Mikakunin de Shinkoukei has been spending a lot of time around 50#/60# lately.

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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-09, 06:44

The estimation for Robot girl Z is not on stalker yet. So I will just assume it keeps the same ranking it had on 8-9~ March(30~ points p/day) when I make the thread tommorow, its rather inaccurate, but I'm just curious how well its doing.


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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-09, 09:44

Such a shame that Nobunanga the Fool is performing so poorly, its last 3 episodes where amazing.

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PostSubject: Re: Estimates v2.   2014-03-09, 10:17

***,*49位/***,*49位 ★ (**1,780 pt) [*,157予約] 2014/04/23 てさぐれ! 部活もの あんこーる Vol.1 [Blu-ray]

Yet another boost for Tesagure!

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